Premier League · 2024Sun, 4 May 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

LDLDL

1–1Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	11 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.84 xG/match▲	0.77 xG/match
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	1 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	18 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.83 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.83 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.14 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Tottenham Hotspur13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	12.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	15.3 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

48%PossessionWest Ham United · Tottenham Hotspur●56.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	48%	56.3%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

2Draws

2Tottenham Hotspur

19 Oct 2024Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League4–1

2 Apr 2024West Ham United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

7 Dec 2023Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League1–2

19 Feb 2023Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

31 Aug 2022West Ham United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 7 · 5 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/35▲1.8 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/351.63 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/35▲1.6 xG/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.65 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/35▲13.8 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/35▲13.1 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/35▲5.17 shots/match

4.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/35▲4.6 shots/match

48%Possessionseason · 35/35●56.3%

3.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/35●6.74 corners/match

5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/35▲5.09 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3511.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3517%

77%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United42.5

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United27.5

Tottenham Hotspur75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United22.5

Tottenham Hotspur34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United67.5

Tottenham Hotspur27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United67.5

Tottenham Hotspur80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United17.5

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United36.2

Tottenham Hotspur81.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United35 matchesTottenham Hotspur35 matches

1.14 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲1.8 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.63 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲1.6 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots35/35▲13.8 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲5.17 shots/match

48%Possession35/35●56.3%

3.97 corners/matchCorners35/35●6.74 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United18 matchesTottenham Hotspur18 matches

1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.61 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.56 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.39 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots18/18▲12.5 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.67 shots/match

49.8%Possession18/18●56.2%

4.39 corners/matchCorners18/18●5.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4