Premier League · 2024Sun, 11 May 2025, 13:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Manchester United

DLLDL

0–2Full-time recap

West Ham United

DLDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester United	West Ham United
Shots	20 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.23 xG/match▲	1.76 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	8 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	3 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Manchester United: 20 shots, 5 on target, 2.27 xG. West Ham United: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 2.27 xG · West Ham United 1.81 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.17 goals/match	1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · West Ham United12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester United	West Ham United	Baseline
Shots	13.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	11.1 shots/match	15.5 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Manchester United

0Draws

3West Ham United

27 Oct 2024West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League2–1

4 Feb 2024Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League3–0

23 Dec 2023West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League2–0

7 May 2023West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League1–0

30 Oct 2022Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 1 · 4 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/361.17 goals/match

1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 36/361.64 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 36/361.28 xG/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 36/361.58 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 36/3612.4 shots/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 36/3615.5 shots/match

4.56 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 36/363.75 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/364.92 shots/match

53.2%●Possessionseason · 36/3648%

5.31 corners/match●Cornersseason · 36/364 corners/match

4.75 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 36/365.47 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3611.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3619%

61%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United72.5

West Ham United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United50

West Ham United28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United65

West Ham United23.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United67.5

West Ham United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United17.5

West Ham United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United52.5

West Ham United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United48.8

West Ham United38.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester United36 matchesWest Ham United36 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored36/361.17 goals/match

1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowed36/361.64 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals36/361.28 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots36/3612.4 shots/match

4.56 shots/match▲Shots on target36/363.75 shots/match

53.2%●Possession36/3648%

5.31 corners/match●Corners36/364 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester United18 matchesWest Ham United18 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.11 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.5 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.31 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots18/1813.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.83 shots/match

52.6%●Possession18/1846.2%

5.61 corners/match●Corners18/183.61 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.01 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 May 2025, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4