Premier League · 2024Sun, 11 May 2025, 13:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WLLLD

0–2Full-time recap

Crystal Palace

LLDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Crystal Palace
Shots	8 shots/match	23 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.68 xG/match	3.39 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	4 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.71 xG. Crystal Palace: 23 shots, 10 on target, 3.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 0.71 xG · Crystal Palace 3.27 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.75 goals/match	1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

56%●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Crystal Palace43.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Crystal Palace	Baseline
Possession	56%	43.2%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Tottenham Hotspur

0Draws

1Crystal Palace

27 Oct 2024Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–0

2 Mar 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–1

27 Oct 2023Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–2

6 May 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0

4 Jan 2023Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 5 · 6 too close

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 36/361.28 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.33 goals/match

1.58 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 36/361.59 xG/match

1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.3 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/3613.7 shots/match

13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/36▲12.6 shots/match

5.06 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 36/364.72 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/36▲4.14 shots/match

56%●Possessionseason · 36/3643.2%

6.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 36/364.75 corners/match

5.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/365.39 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3610.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/36▲31%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3678%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

Crystal Palace17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur71.7

Crystal Palace53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur28.3

Crystal Palace58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur27.5

Crystal Palace97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur80

Crystal Palace42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

Crystal Palace42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur78.1

Crystal Palace53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur36 matchesCrystal Palace36 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored36/361.28 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲1.33 goals/match

1.58 xG/matchExpected goals36/361.59 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots36/3613.7 shots/match

5.06 shots/match▲Shots on target36/364.72 shots/match

56%●Possession36/3643.2%

6.67 corners/match●Corners36/364.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3610.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur18 matchesCrystal Palace18 matches

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.44 goals/match

1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.33 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.55 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots18/1813 shots/match

5.44 shots/match▲Shots on target18/184.89 shots/match

55.9%●Possession18/1843.3%

7.44 corners/match●Corners18/184.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.76 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 May 2025, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4