Premier League · 2024Sun, 18 May 2025, 13:15 UTCFull timeHistorical match

West Ham United

LDLDW

1–2Historical match

Nottingham Forest

LWLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Nottingham Forest
Shots	16 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.13 xG/match	1.96 xG/match▲
Possession	61%●	39%
Corners	8 corners/match●	7 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.12 xG. Nottingham Forest: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.12 xG · Nottingham Forest 1.99 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.16 goals/match	1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2West Ham United

0Draws

3Nottingham Forest

2 Nov 2024Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League3–0

17 Feb 2024Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

12 Nov 2023West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–2

25 Feb 2023West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0

14 Aug 2022Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 6 · 6 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲1.57 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.22 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/371.23 xG/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.31 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3712.2 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/37▲14.2 shots/match

3.78 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲4.43 shots/match

4.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/374.7 shots/match

48.3%●Possessionseason · 37/3740.6%

4.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/374.11 corners/match

5.51 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/376.41 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3710.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/37▲35%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3781%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United42.5

Nottingham Forest7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United29.2

Nottingham Forest40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United23.3

Nottingham Forest42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United57.5

Nottingham Forest87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United72.5

Nottingham Forest17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United30

Nottingham Forest30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United40.6

Nottingham Forest28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United37 matchesNottingham Forest37 matches

1.16 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲1.57 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.22 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.23 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots37/3712.2 shots/match

3.78 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲4.43 shots/match

48.3%●Possession37/3740.6%

4.11 corners/matchCorners37/374.11 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United19 matchesNottingham Forest19 matches

1.21 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.68 goals/match

1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.58 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.23 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots19/1912.1 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.32 shots/match

50.4%●Possession19/1937.9%

4.58 corners/match●Corners19/194.16 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 May 2025, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4