Premier League · 2024

West Ham United 1–2 Nottingham Forest · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nottingham Forest won 1–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.131.96
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nottingham Forest beat West Ham United 2–1. Recorded in this match (West Ham United – Nottingham Forest): shots 16–10, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.13–1.96, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsWest Ham United 16 shots, Nottingham Forest 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsWest Ham United 5 shots, Nottingham Forest 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.96 xGWest Ham United 1.13 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.96 xG
  • Possession61%39%West Ham United 61%, Nottingham Forest 39%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersWest Ham United 8 corners, Nottingham Forest 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsWest Ham United 14 fouls, Nottingham Forest 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Domínguez · Nottingham Forest · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVladimír Coufal · West Ham United · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVladimír Coufal · West Ham United · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAaron Cresswell · West Ham United · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Milenković · Nottingham Forest · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAaron Cresswell · West Ham United · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 86′ · 0.09 xG · goalMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · West Ham United · 71′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuis Guilherme · West Ham United · 81′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 24′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 75′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJean-Clair Todibo · West Ham United · 2′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNikola Milenković · Nottingham Forest · 61′ · 0.27 xG · goalMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 5′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 11′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.12 xG. Nottingham Forest: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 86′Morgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 11′Nikola Milenković · Nottingham Forest · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.12 xG · Nottingham Forest 1.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2West Ham United
0Draws
3Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League3–0
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League2–0
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–2
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Ham United favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Ham United37 matchesNottingham Forest37 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.23 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots37/3712.2 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 4.43 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession37/3740.6%
4.11 corners/matchCorners37/374.11 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 May 2025, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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