Premier League · 2024Sun, 18 May 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brentford

DWWWW

2–3Full-time recap

Fulham

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Fulham
Shots	11 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.87 xG/match▲	0.99 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brentford: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.89 xG. Fulham: 16 shots, 7 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.89 xG · Fulham 0.97 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	1.76 goals/match	1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsBrentford · Fulham13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brentford	Fulham	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	16.9 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brentford

1Draws

2Fulham

4 Nov 2024Fulham — Brentford · Premier League2–1

4 May 2024Brentford — Fulham · Premier League0–0

19 Aug 2023Fulham — Brentford · Premier League0–3

6 Mar 2023Brentford — Fulham · Premier League3–2

20 Aug 2022Fulham — Brentford · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 7 · 3 too close

1.76 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 37/371.46 goals/match

1.51 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.41 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 37/371.28 xG/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.21 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/37▲13.6 shots/match

16.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/37▲11.1 shots/match

4.76 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/374.59 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/37▲4.27 shots/match

47.6%Possessionseason · 37/37●52.5%

4.59 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/37●5.46 corners/match

6.32 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/37▲4.49 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.41 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3711.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3714%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/37▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford32.5

Fulham67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford57.5

Fulham54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford20.8

Fulham58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford22.5

Fulham67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford7.5

Fulham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford37.5

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford35

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford37 matchesFulham37 matches

1.76 goals/match▲Goals scored37/371.46 goals/match

1.51 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.41 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals37/371.28 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots37/37▲13.6 shots/match

4.76 shots/matchShots on target37/374.59 shots/match

47.6%Possession37/37●52.5%

4.59 corners/matchCorners37/37●5.46 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.41 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford19 matchesFulham19 matches

2.11 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.42 goals/match

1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.26 goals/match

1.9 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.4 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots19/19▲13.5 shots/match

5.47 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.21 shots/match

50.2%Possession19/19●51.9%

5.05 corners/matchCorners19/19●5.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.53 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4