Premier League · 2024Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bournemouth

LLDWD

1–1Full-time recap

Manchester United

WLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bournemouth	Manchester United
Shots	8 shots/match	25 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.53 xG/match	2.52 xG/match▲
Possession	38%	62%●
Corners	5 corners/match	10 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bournemouth: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.54 xG. Manchester United: 25 shots, 6 on target, 2.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 0.54 xG · Manchester United 2.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.15 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Bournemouth

1Draws

2Manchester United

22 Dec 2024Manchester United — Bournemouth · Premier League0–3

13 Apr 2024Bournemouth — Manchester United · Premier League2–2

9 Dec 2023Manchester United — Bournemouth · Premier League0–3

20 May 2023Bournemouth — Manchester United · Premier League0–1

3 Jan 2023Manchester United — Bournemouth · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 4 · 2 too close

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/341.15 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 34/341.38 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 34/341.36 xG/match

1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 34/341.46 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/3413.6 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲11.1 shots/match

5.41 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/344.53 shots/match

4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲4.06 shots/match

47.7%Possessionseason · 34/34●53.2%

6.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 34/345.29 corners/match

5.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲4.68 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3410.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲26%

79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3462%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth40

Manchester United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth70.8

Manchester United44.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth46.7

Manchester United68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth97.5

Manchester United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth97.5

Manchester United30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth67.5

Manchester United52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth82.5

Manchester United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bournemouth34 matchesManchester United34 matches

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scored34/341.15 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed34/341.38 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals34/341.36 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots34/3413.6 shots/match

5.41 shots/match▲Shots on target34/344.53 shots/match

47.7%Possession34/34●53.2%

6.09 corners/match●Corners34/345.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bournemouth17 matchesManchester United17 matches

1.24 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.06 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.24 goals/match

1.73 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.24 xG/match

16.4 shots/match▲Shots17/1713.4 shots/match

5.47 shots/match▲Shots on target17/174.59 shots/match

46.8%Possession17/17●53.8%

6.06 corners/match●Corners17/175.12 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches