Premier League · 2024Mon, 19 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

DLWDW

3–2Full-time recap

Liverpool

WWWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Liverpool
Shots	25 shots/match▲	18 shots/match
Shots on target	12 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.2 xG/match	2.23 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 25 shots, 12 on target, 2.21 xG. Liverpool: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 2.21 xG · Liverpool 2.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.68 goals/match	1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Brighton & Hove Albion

2Draws

2Liverpool

2 Nov 2024Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

31 Mar 2024Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

8 Oct 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

14 Jan 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Liverpool · Premier League3–0

1 Oct 2022Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 2 too close

1.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲2.3 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.08 goals/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/37▲2.17 xG/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/37▲1 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/37▲17 shots/match

11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/37▲10.2 shots/match

4.95 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲6.11 shots/match

3.97 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/37▲3.65 shots/match

52.2%Possessionseason · 37/37●57.6%

4.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/37●6.51 corners/match

4.86 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/37▲3.73 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3711.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/37▲38%

86%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/37▲97%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion70

Liverpool97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion60.8

Liverpool89.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion72.5

Liverpool62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion47.5

Liverpool85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion66.9

Liverpool85.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion37 matchesLiverpool37 matches

1.68 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲2.3 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.08 goals/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲2.17 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots37/37▲17 shots/match

4.95 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲6.11 shots/match

52.2%Possession37/37●57.6%

4.78 corners/matchCorners37/37●6.51 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion19 matchesLiverpool19 matches

1.58 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲2.32 goals/match

1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.32 goals/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲2.18 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShots19/19▲17.4 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲6.16 shots/match

52.5%Possession19/19●56.5%

4.79 corners/matchCorners19/19●6.79 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4