Premier League · 2024Sun, 25 May 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

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1–4Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

LWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	4 shots/match	23 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.03 xG/match	2.24 xG/match▲
Possession	33%	67%●
Corners	2 corners/match	11 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 4 shots, 2 on target, 2.11 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 23 shots, 8 on target, 2.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.11 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 2.27 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.68 goals/match	1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Tottenham Hotspur

0Draws

2Brighton & Hove Albion

6 Oct 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–2

10 Feb 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

28 Dec 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–2

8 Apr 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

8 Oct 2022Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 8 · 5 too close

1.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/381.74 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.55 goals/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/381.56 xG/match

1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.45 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/38▲14 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/38▲11.2 shots/match

4.87 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/385.03 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/38▲3.92 shots/match

54.8%●Possessionseason · 38/3852.6%

6.39 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/384.95 corners/match

5.42 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/38▲4.79 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3811.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/38▲21%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/38▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur59.2

Brighton & Hove Albion75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur26.7

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur17.5

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

Brighton & Hove Albion72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

Brighton & Hove Albion47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur69.4

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur38 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion38 matches

1.68 goals/matchGoals scored38/381.74 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲1.55 goals/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goals38/381.56 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShots38/38▲14 shots/match

4.87 shots/matchShots on target38/385.03 shots/match

54.8%●Possession38/3852.6%

6.39 corners/match●Corners38/384.95 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls38/3811.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur19 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion19 matches

1.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.89 goals/match

1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.74 goals/match

1.78 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.5 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots19/1912.8 shots/match

5.26 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.95 shots/match

54.7%●Possession19/1952.6%

7.16 corners/match●Corners19/195.11 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.83 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4