Premier League · 2024Tue, 20 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

LDDDW

4–2Full-time recap

Wolverhampton

WWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Wolverhampton
Shots	14 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.66 xG/match▲	1.41 xG/match
Possession	31%	69%●
Corners	0 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 14 shots, 10 on target, 1.73 xG. Wolverhampton: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 1.73 xG · Wolverhampton 1.45 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.35 goals/match	1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Crystal Palace

1Draws

1Wolverhampton

2 Nov 2024Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–2

11 May 2024Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–3

3 Sept 2023Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–2

25 Apr 2023Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–0

18 Oct 2022Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 1 · 4 too close

1.35 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲1.43 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 37/371.84 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 37/371.18 xG/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 37/371.55 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 37/3711.2 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/3712.4 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 37/374.16 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 37/374.51 shots/match

42.9%Possessionseason · 37/37●48.1%

4.62 corners/match●Cornersseason · 37/373.78 corners/match

5.49 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/375.78 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3712.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3722%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3781%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace17.5

Wolverhampton32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace55

Wolverhampton29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace54.2

Wolverhampton37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace97.5

Wolverhampton12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace42.5

Wolverhampton92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace42.5

Wolverhampton7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace54.4

Wolverhampton37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace37 matchesWolverhampton37 matches

1.35 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲1.43 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed37/371.84 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals37/371.18 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots37/3711.2 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target37/374.16 shots/match

42.9%Possession37/37●48.1%

4.62 corners/match●Corners37/373.78 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace19 matchesWolverhampton19 matches

1.26 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.42 goals/match

1.37 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.95 goals/match

1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.09 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots19/1911.3 shots/match

4.84 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.11 shots/match

42.5%Possession19/19●47.9%

4.58 corners/match●Corners19/193.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4