Premier League · 2024Sun, 25 May 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWLDL

1–1Full-time recap

Crystal Palace

DDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Crystal Palace
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.14 xG/match▲	1.77 xG/match
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	11 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 14 shots, 3 on target, 2.16 xG. Crystal Palace: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.16 xG · Crystal Palace 1.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.34 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.34 goals/match	1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.9%●PossessionLiverpool · Crystal Palace42.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Crystal Palace	Baseline
Possession	57.9%	42.6%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Crystal Palace13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Crystal Palace	Baseline
Shots	16.9 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Liverpool

2Draws

1Crystal Palace

5 Oct 2024Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League0–1

14 Apr 2024Liverpool — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–1

9 Dec 2023Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

25 Feb 2023Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League0–0

15 Aug 2022Liverpool — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 0 · 2 too close

2.26 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 38/381.34 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 38/381.34 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 38/381.59 xG/match

1.02 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 38/381.33 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 38/3813.5 shots/match

10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 38/3812.7 shots/match

6.03 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 38/384.87 shots/match

3.68 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 38/384.08 shots/match

57.9%●Possessionseason · 38/3842.6%

6.63 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/384.5 corners/match

3.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 38/385.63 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3810.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

37%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3829%

97%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3879%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool92.5

Crystal Palace17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool97.5

Crystal Palace50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool89.2

Crystal Palace56.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool82.5

Crystal Palace97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool50

Crystal Palace37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool92.5

Crystal Palace37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool84.4

Crystal Palace48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool38 matchesCrystal Palace38 matches

2.26 goals/match▲Goals scored38/381.34 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed38/381.34 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals38/381.59 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shots38/3813.5 shots/match

6.03 shots/match▲Shots on target38/384.87 shots/match

57.9%●Possession38/3842.6%

6.63 corners/match●Corners38/384.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls38/3810.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool19 matchesCrystal Palace19 matches

2.21 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.42 goals/match

0.84 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.32 goals/match

2.16 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.56 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots19/1912.7 shots/match

5.89 shots/match▲Shots on target19/194.89 shots/match

59.3%●Possession19/1942.6%

6.47 corners/match●Corners19/194.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.83 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4