Eredivisie · 2025De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard drew 2–2.

Shots
2312
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.720.84
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – Fortuna Sittard): shots 23–12, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.72–0.84, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible away split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsGo Ahead Eagles · Fortuna Sittard13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesFortuna SittardBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots12 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 23 shots, Fortuna Sittard 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 8 shots, Fortuna Sittard 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG0.84 xGGo Ahead Eagles 1.72 xG, Fortuna Sittard 0.84 xG
  • Possession62%38%Go Ahead Eagles 62%, Fortuna Sittard 38%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerGo Ahead Eagles 9 corners, Fortuna Sittard 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 10 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Milan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAmin Laoukili · Fortuna Sittard · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 36′ · 0.02 xG · goalJaden Slory · Go Ahead Eagles · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaden Slory · Go Ahead Eagles · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJaden Slory · Go Ahead Eagles · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 5′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 17′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 63′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.27 xG · goalJustin Hubner · Fortuna Sittard · 90′ · 0.41 xG · goalMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 86′ · 0.47 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 23 shots, 8 on target, 1.74 xG. Fortuna Sittard: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 86′Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 36′Justin Hubner · Fortuna Sittard · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 1.74 xG · Fortuna Sittard 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Go Ahead Eagles
2Draws
1Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–2
Fortuna Sittard — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie0–3
Go Ahead Eagles — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie0–2
Fortuna Sittard — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie0–0
Go Ahead Eagles — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Go Ahead Eagles favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Go Ahead Eagles18 matchesFortuna Sittard18 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.5 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.72 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.2 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.67 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession18/1846.6%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners18/184.72 corners/match
9.22 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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