PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Johan Cruijff ArenA

AFC Ajax 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AFC Ajax and Go Ahead Eagles drew 2–2.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
3.430.86
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

AFC Ajax and Go Ahead Eagles drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (AFC Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles): shots 18–10, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 3.43–0.86, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AFC Ajax's recent record differs from the season

weak

AFC Ajax's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.95 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AFC Ajax show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AFC Ajax's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAFC Ajax · Go Ahead Eagles11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAFC AjaxGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match18.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsAFC Ajax 18 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsAFC Ajax 6 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.43 xG0.86 xGAFC Ajax 3.43 xG, Go Ahead Eagles 0.86 xG
  • Possession51%49%AFC Ajax 51%, Go Ahead Eagles 49%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersAFC Ajax 1 corner, Go Ahead Eagles 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsAFC Ajax 11 fouls, Go Ahead Eagles 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnton Gaaei · AFC Ajax · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnton Gaaei · AFC Ajax · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnton Gaaei · AFC Ajax · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYouri Regeer · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 87′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 15′ · 0.14 xG · goalRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 57′ · 0.20 xG · on targetThibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 53′ · 0.25 xG · goalLucas Rosa · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 28′ · 0.31 xG · goalMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 66′ · 0.33 xG · goalKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 63′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 20′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 74′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedSean Steur · AFC Ajax · 40′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AFC Ajax: 18 shots, 6 on target, 3.42 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 10 shots, 6 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Davy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 15′Kasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 28′Thibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 53′Milan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AFC Ajax 3.42 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AFC Ajax
3Draws
0Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie2–2
AFC Ajax — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–0
Go Ahead Eagles — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie1–1
AFC Ajax — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–1
Go Ahead Eagles — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AFC Ajax favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AFC Ajax19 matchesGo Ahead Eagles19 matches
1.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.58 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.74 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.2 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911.2 shots/match
6.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/195 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession19/1951.9%
5.11 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.32 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls19/199.58 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAFC AjaxGo Ahead Eagles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headAFC Ajax — Go Ahead Eagles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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