PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard 1–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–2.

Shots
618
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.333.03
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Fortuna Sittard 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – PSV Eindhoven): shots 6–18, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.33–3.03, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible home split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · PSV Eindhoven17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match17.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.7%PossessionFortuna Sittard · PSV Eindhoven● 59.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession45.7%59.8%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots18 shotsFortuna Sittard 6 shots, PSV Eindhoven 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsFortuna Sittard 1 shot, PSV Eindhoven 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.33 xG3.03 xGFortuna Sittard 0.33 xG, PSV Eindhoven 3.03 xG
  • Possession30%70%Fortuna Sittard 30%, PSV Eindhoven 70%
  • Corners4 corners14 cornersFortuna Sittard 4 corners, PSV Eindhoven 14 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsFortuna Sittard 10 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 12′ · 0.04 xG · goalPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 84′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPhilip Brittijn · Fortuna Sittard · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 75′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 43′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 8′ · 0.20 xG · goalYarek Gasiorowski · PSV Eindhoven · 48′ · 0.20 xG · on targetPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.24 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.66 xG · goalPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 18 shots, 8 on target, 2.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Kaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 12′Paul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 8′Ivan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 0.33 xG · PSV Eindhoven 2.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortuna Sittard
1Draws
4PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie5–2
PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie4–1
Fortuna Sittard — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–3
Fortuna Sittard — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–1
PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard19 matchesPSV Eindhoven19 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 3.11 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 2 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 17.5 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 7.37 shots/match
45.7%Possession19/19● 59.8%
4.68 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6.95 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — PSV Eindhoven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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