Eredivisie · 2025Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Heracles · Eredivisie

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sparta Rotterdam won 2–0.

Shots
226
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.390.33
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sparta Rotterdam beat Heracles Almelo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles Almelo): shots 22–6, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.39–0.33, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.44 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Heracles Almelo have a visible away split

moderate

Heracles Almelo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sparta Rotterdam show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sparta Rotterdam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSparta Rotterdam · Heracles Almelo11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSparta RotterdamHeracles AlmeloBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match17.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots6 shotsSparta Rotterdam 22 shots, Heracles 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsSparta Rotterdam 9 shots, Heracles 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG0.33 xGSparta Rotterdam 2.39 xG, Heracles 0.33 xG
  • Possession51%49%Sparta Rotterdam 51%, Heracles 49%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersSparta Rotterdam 9 corners, Heracles 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls16 foulsSparta Rotterdam 6 fouls, Heracles 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Shunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalid Ould-Chikh · Heracles Almelo · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Baas · Sparta Rotterdam · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetErik Ahlstrand · Heracles Almelo · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoni Santos · Sparta Rotterdam · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Baas · Sparta Rotterdam · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLequincio Zeefuik · Heracles Almelo · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLushendry Edward Martes · Sparta Rotterdam · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTeo Quintero · Sparta Rotterdam · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLequincio Zeefuik · Heracles Almelo · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMimeirhel Benita · Heracles Almelo · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 88′ · 0.10 xG · goalJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 87′ · 0.13 xG · on targetTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 62′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAyoni Santos · Sparta Rotterdam · 45′ · 0.27 xG · on targetShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 10′ · 0.30 xG · on targetMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 75′ · 0.31 xG · on targetTobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 10′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sparta Rotterdam: 22 shots, 9 on target, 2.43 xG. Heracles Almelo: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tobias Lauritsen · Sparta Rotterdam · 10′Pelle Clement · Sparta Rotterdam · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sparta Rotterdam 2.43 xG · Heracles Almelo 0.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sparta Rotterdam
2Draws
2Heracles
Heracles — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie3–0
Heracles — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–1
Sparta Rotterdam — Heracles · Eredivisie0–0
Sparta Rotterdam — Heracles · Eredivisie1–2
Heracles — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sparta Rotterdam favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Heracles in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sparta Rotterdam18 matchesHeracles18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.72 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/182.56 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.19 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.2 shots/match
4.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/184.22 shots/match
46.2% ●Possession18/1843.6%
4.61 corners/match ●Corners18/184.5 corners/match
8.65 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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