Eredivisie · 2025Erve Asito

Heracles 0–2 FC Twente · Eredivisie

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 0–2.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.782.53
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat Heracles Almelo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Heracles Almelo – FC Twente): shots 11–18, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.78–2.53, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHeracles Almelo · FC Twente18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHeracles AlmeloFC TwenteBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match18.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against17.6 shots/match9.74 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Heracles Almelo have a visible home split

moderate

Heracles Almelo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsHeracles 11 shots, FC Twente 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsHeracles 2 shots, FC Twente 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG2.53 xGHeracles 0.78 xG, FC Twente 2.53 xG
  • Possession49%51%Heracles 49%, FC Twente 51%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersHeracles 4 corners, FC Twente 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsHeracles 12 fouls, FC Twente 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErik Ahlstrand · Heracles Almelo · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDamon Mirani · Heracles Almelo · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTristan van Gilst · Heracles Almelo · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAjdin Hrustić · Heracles Almelo · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMats Rots · FC Twente · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAjdin Hrustić · Heracles Almelo · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 69′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlec Van Hoorenbeeck · Heracles Almelo · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 77′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 37′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLuka Kulenović · Heracles Almelo · 81′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 30′ · 0.78 xG · goalRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Heracles Almelo: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG. FC Twente: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Thomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 30′Ricky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Heracles Almelo 0.76 xG · FC Twente 2.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Heracles
1Draws
3FC Twente
FC Twente — Heracles · Eredivisie2–1
Heracles — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–1
FC Twente — Heracles · Eredivisie5–0
FC Twente — Heracles · Eredivisie1–0
Heracles — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Heracles favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Twente in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Heracles19 matchesFC Twente19 matches
1.37 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.53 goals/match
2.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 2.01 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 18.8 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target19/18▲ 6.11 shots/match
43.8%Possession19/19● 55.4%
4.47 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.16 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required