PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Kras Stadion

FC Volendam 2–1 FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Volendam won 2–1.

Shots
716
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.40.93
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Volendam beat FC Utrecht 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Volendam – FC Utrecht): shots 7–16, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.4–0.93, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Volendam's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Volendam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Utrecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Utrecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Volendam · FC Utrecht14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC VolendamFC UtrechtBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against18.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Volendam have a visible home split

moderate

FC Volendam's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match10.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsFC Volendam 7 shots, FC Utrecht 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsFC Volendam 3 shots, FC Utrecht 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG0.93 xGFC Volendam 0.4 xG, FC Utrecht 0.93 xG
  • Possession45%55%FC Volendam 45%, FC Utrecht 55%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersFC Volendam 1 corner, FC Utrecht 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsFC Volendam 14 fouls, FC Utrecht 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDave Kwakman · FC Volendam · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · FC Utrecht · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCan Bozdoğan · FC Utrecht · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDave Kwakman · FC Volendam · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNordin Bukala · FC Volendam · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · FC Utrecht · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVictor Jensen · FC Utrecht · 49′ · 0.07 xG · goalJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 10′ · 0.08 xG · goalGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatisse Didden · FC Utrecht · 31′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 42′ · 0.15 xG · goalMatisse Didden · FC Utrecht · 59′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Volendam: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.42 xG. FC Utrecht: 16 shots, 5 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Joel Ideho · FC Volendam · 10′Brandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 42′Victor Jensen · FC Utrecht · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Volendam 0.42 xG · FC Utrecht 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Volendam
1Draws
3FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht — FC Volendam · Eredivisie3–1
FC Utrecht — FC Volendam · Eredivisie4–2
FC Volendam — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie1–0
FC Utrecht — FC Volendam · Eredivisie0–0
FC Volendam — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Volendam favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Volendam19 matchesFC Utrecht18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/18▲ 1.61 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/18▲ 1.39 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals19/18▲ 1.28 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots19/18▲ 14.9 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target19/18▲ 5.17 shots/match
44.3%Possession19/18● 48.2%
3.47 corners/matchCorners19/18● 5.06 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls19/1810.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC VolendamFC Utrecht
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Volendam — FC Utrecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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