PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Johan Cruijff ArenA

AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Volendam · Eredivisie

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AFC Ajax won 2–0.

Shots
315
Shots on target
142
Expected goals
3.440.31
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

AFC Ajax beat FC Volendam 2–0. Recorded in this match (AFC Ajax – FC Volendam): shots 31–5, shots on target 14–2, expected goals 3.44–0.31, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Volendam's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Volendam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AFC Ajax show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

AFC Ajax's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAFC Ajax · FC Volendam9.85 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAFC AjaxFC VolendamBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match9.85 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match19 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Volendam have a visible away split

moderate

FC Volendam's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.85 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.85 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots5 shotsAFC Ajax 31 shots, FC Volendam 5 shots
  • Shots on target14 shots2 shotsAFC Ajax 14 shots, FC Volendam 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.44 xG0.31 xGAFC Ajax 3.44 xG, FC Volendam 0.31 xG
  • Possession65%35%AFC Ajax 65%, FC Volendam 35%
  • Corners10 corners0 cornersAFC Ajax 10 corners, FC Volendam 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsAFC Ajax 10 fouls, FC Volendam 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Rosa · AFC Ajax · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDave Kwakman · FC Volendam · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYannick Leliendal · FC Volendam · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnton Gaaei · AFC Ajax · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSean Steur · AFC Ajax · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 31′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 16′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYouri Regeer · AFC Ajax · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 14′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bouwman · AFC Ajax · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJorthy Mokio · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYouri Baas · AFC Ajax · 13′ · 0.13 xG · goalOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 63′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnton Gaaei · AFC Ajax · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 79′ · 0.22 xG · on targetSean Steur · AFC Ajax · 12′ · 0.25 xG · on targetKasper Dolberg · AFC Ajax · 40′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedYouri Baas · AFC Ajax · 36′ · 0.48 xG · goalDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 71′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AFC Ajax: 31 shots, 14 on target, 3.49 xG. FC Volendam: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Youri Baas · AFC Ajax · 13′Youri Baas · AFC Ajax · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AFC Ajax 3.49 xG · FC Volendam 0.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AFC Ajax
2Draws
0FC Volendam
FC Volendam — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie1–1
FC Volendam — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie1–4
AFC Ajax — FC Volendam · Eredivisie2–0
AFC Ajax — FC Volendam · Eredivisie1–1
FC Volendam — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AFC Ajax favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · FC Volendam in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AFC Ajax20 matchesFC Volendam20 matches
1.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.05 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.75 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/200.94 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots20/209.85 shots/match
6.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.45 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession20/2043.8%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners20/203.3 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAFC AjaxFC Volendam
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headAFC Ajax — FC Volendam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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