Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 15:45 UTCFull timeDe KuipFull-time recap
34Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFeyenoordSparta Rotterdam
Shots22 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target12 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.69 xG/match1.6 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners9 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Feyenoord · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTeo Quintero · Sparta Rotterdam · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTeo Quintero · Sparta Rotterdam · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 64′ · 0.03 xG · goalAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Baas · Sparta Rotterdam · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Bos · Feyenoord · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTobias van den Elshout · Feyenoord · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTsuyoshi Watanabe · Feyenoord · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Feyenoord · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 21′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSem Steijn · Feyenoord · 63′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTsuyoshi Watanabe · Feyenoord · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedShaqueel van Persie · Feyenoord · 88′ · 0.10 xG · goalQuinten Timber · Feyenoord · 86′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 40′ · 0.12 xG · goalJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalCyle Larin · Feyenoord · 76′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Feyenoord · 5′ · 0.21 xG · on targetShaqueel van Persie · Feyenoord · 87′ · 0.22 xG · goalShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 71′ · 0.36 xG · goalMitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 55′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 22 shots, 12 on target, 1.67 xG. Sparta Rotterdam: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 64′Shaqueel van Persie · Feyenoord · 87′Shaqueel van Persie · Feyenoord · 88′Joshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 40′Mitchell Van Bergen · Sparta Rotterdam · 55′Shunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 71′Joshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 1.67 xG · Sparta Rotterdam 1.60 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Feyenoord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sparta Rotterdam's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Feyenoord show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Feyenoord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.9 shots/matchShotsFeyenoord · Sparta Rotterdam13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordSparta RotterdamBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match17.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sparta Rotterdam's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sparta Rotterdam's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Feyenoord
0Draws
0Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord · Eredivisie04

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Feyenoord favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 1 · 3 too close

2.47 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/191.26 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/191.79 goals/match
2.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/191.48 xG/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/191.53 xG/match
17.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1913.4 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1917.1 shots/match
6.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/184.83 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/186.33 shots/match
53.9%Possessionseason · 19/1946.1%
7.53 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.37 corners/match
3.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/197.32 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/188.78 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
32%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1937%
95%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1974%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Feyenoord69.4
Sparta Rotterdam36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Feyenoord88
Sparta Rotterdam35.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Feyenoord76.9
Sparta Rotterdam21.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Feyenoord91.7
Sparta Rotterdam52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Feyenoord8.3
Sparta Rotterdam2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Feyenoord97.2
Sparta Rotterdam19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Feyenoord70.8
Sparta Rotterdam26.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.94 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.6 shots/match
52%Possession5/549.8%
7.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
2 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.63 xG/match
18.1 shots/matchShots10/1014.5 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
52.9%Possession10/1051%
7.1 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
2.47 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.26 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.79 goals/match
2.06 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.48 xG/match
17.9 shots/matchShots19/1913.4 shots/match
6.74 shots/matchShots on target19/184.83 shots/match
53.9%Possession19/1946.1%
7.53 corners/matchCorners19/194.37 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.11 fouls/matchFouls18/188.78 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 9 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/91.44 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/91.78 goals/match
2.22 xG/matchExpected goals10/91.54 xG/match
19.5 shots/matchShots10/914.3 shots/match
7.2 shots/matchShots on target10/94.89 shots/match
53.5%Possession10/946.8%
7.8 corners/matchCorners10/94 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/99.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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