PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Kuip

Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior · Eredivisie

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Feyenoord won 2–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.360.84
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Feyenoord beat Excelsior 2–1. Recorded in this match (Feyenoord – Excelsior): shots 15–12, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.36–0.84, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Feyenoord's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Feyenoord's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.22 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Feyenoord show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Feyenoord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFeyenoord · Excelsior12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordExcelsiorBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match12 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Feyenoord have a visible home split

moderate

Feyenoord's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match17.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsFeyenoord 15 shots, Excelsior 12 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsFeyenoord 9 shots, Excelsior 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.36 xG0.84 xGFeyenoord 3.36 xG, Excelsior 0.84 xG
  • Possession49%51%Feyenoord 49%, Excelsior 51%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersFeyenoord 9 corners, Excelsior 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsFeyenoord 10 fouls, Excelsior 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jordan Bos · Feyenoord · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasper Widell · Excelsior · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNoah Naujoks · Excelsior · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGyan de Regt · Excelsior · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGyan de Regt · Excelsior · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMats Deijl · Feyenoord · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Feyenoord · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRick Meissen · Excelsior · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoah Naujoks · Excelsior · 5′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Valente · Feyenoord · 53′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHwang In-beom · Feyenoord · 32′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedArthur Zagre · Excelsior · 28′ · 0.30 xG · goalRaheem Sterling · Feyenoord · 30′ · 0.52 xG · on targetAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 58′ · 0.53 xG · goalAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 59′ · 0.69 xG · goalAnis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord · 86′ · 0.87 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 15 shots, 9 on target, 3.44 xG. Excelsior: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Ayase Ueda · Feyenoord · 58′Ayase Ueda · Feyenoord · 59′Arthur Zagre · Excelsior · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 3.44 xG · Excelsior 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Feyenoord
0Draws
0Excelsior
Excelsior — Feyenoord · Eredivisie1–2
Feyenoord — Excelsior · Eredivisie4–0
Excelsior — Feyenoord · Eredivisie2–4
Excelsior — Feyenoord · Eredivisie0–2
Feyenoord — Excelsior · Eredivisie5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Feyenoord favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Excelsior in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Feyenoord27 matchesExcelsior27 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.04 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.7 goals/match
1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.28 xG/match
17.1 shots/match ▲Shots27/2712 shots/match
6.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.07 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession27/2746.5%
7.59 corners/match ●Corners27/274.3 corners/match
9.38 fouls/matchFouls26/2712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFeyenoordExcelsior
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFeyenoord — Excelsior
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required