Heracles 1–1 Excelsior — Eredivisie 2025/26 Match Stats

Eredivisie · 2025Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTCErve Asito

Heracles

LLLDL

1–1Historical match

Excelsior

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Heracles and Excelsior drew 1–1.

Shots: 1315
Shots on target: 44
Expected goals: 1.521.06
Possession: 50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Heracles Almelo and Excelsior drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Heracles Almelo – Excelsior): shots 13–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.52–1.06, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Heracles Almelo have a visible home split

moderate

Heracles Almelo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	11 shots/match	14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsHeracles Almelo · Excelsior12.5 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Heracles Almelo	Excelsior	Baseline
Fouls	13.8 fouls/match	12.5 fouls/match	10.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

Shots13 shots15 shotsHeracles 13 shots, Excelsior 15 shots
Shots on target4 shots4 shotsHeracles 4 shots, Excelsior 4 shots
Expected goals1.52 xG1.06 xGHeracles 1.52 xG, Excelsior 1.06 xG
Possession50%50%Heracles 50%, Excelsior 50%
Corners6 corners1 cornerHeracles 6 corners, Excelsior 1 corner
Fouls17 fouls15 foulsHeracles 17 fouls, Excelsior 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Heracles Almelo: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.49 xG. Excelsior: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Heracles Almelo 1.49 xG · Excelsior 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Heracles

0Draws

3Excelsior

8 Nov 2025Excelsior — Heracles · Eredivisie1–2

12 May 2024Excelsior — Heracles · Eredivisie4–0

2 Sept 2023Heracles — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–1

21 May 2022Heracles — Excelsior · Eredivisie1–3

18 May 2022Excelsior — Heracles · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Heracles favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Excelsior in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Heracles28 matchesExcelsior28 matches

1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.04 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.68 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.27 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 12.1 shots/match

3.82 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.07 shots/match

43.9%Possession28/28● 46.6%

4.32 corners/match ●Corners28/284.18 corners/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2812.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season