PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard 1–2 FC Twente · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 1–2.

Shots
119
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.251.85
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat Fortuna Sittard 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – FC Twente): shots 11–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.25–1.85, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Twente's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match17.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · FC Twente17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardFC TwenteBaseline
Shots13 shots/match17.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible home split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsFortuna Sittard 11 shots, FC Twente 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsFortuna Sittard 5 shots, FC Twente 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG1.85 xGFortuna Sittard 1.25 xG, FC Twente 1.85 xG
  • Possession40%60%Fortuna Sittard 40%, FC Twente 60%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersFortuna Sittard 7 corners, FC Twente 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls15 foulsFortuna Sittard 6 fouls, FC Twente 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ramiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedShawn Adewoye · Fortuna Sittard · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassin Oukili · Fortuna Sittard · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 7′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 52′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 60′ · 0.13 xG · goalKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 68′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 55′ · 0.32 xG · goalPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 51′ · 0.37 xG · on targetSam Lammers · FC Twente · 77′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 5′ · 0.40 xG · goalSam Lammers · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.24 xG. FC Twente: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 5′Daan Rots · FC Twente · 55′Kristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 1.24 xG · FC Twente 1.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortuna Sittard
1Draws
4FC Twente
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–1
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Twente in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard28 matchesFC Twente28 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.93 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 6.15 shots/match
44.9%Possession28/28● 55%
4.43 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.32 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardFC Twente
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — FC Twente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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