PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Kras Stadion

FC Volendam 1–2 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 1–2.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.212.09
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat FC Volendam 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Volendam – Fortuna Sittard): shots 16–13, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.21–2.09, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Volendam · Fortuna Sittard13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC VolendamFortuna SittardBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against18.9 shots/match15.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible away split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortuna Sittard's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsFC Volendam 16 shots, Fortuna Sittard 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsFC Volendam 5 shots, Fortuna Sittard 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.21 xG2.09 xGFC Volendam 2.21 xG, Fortuna Sittard 2.09 xG
  • Possession61%39%FC Volendam 61%, Fortuna Sittard 39%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersFC Volendam 4 corners, Fortuna Sittard 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsFC Volendam 11 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · FC Volendam · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJasper Dahlhaus · Fortuna Sittard · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuninho Bacuna · FC Volendam · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNeraysho Kasanwirjo · Fortuna Sittard · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · FC Volendam · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBilal Ould-Chikh · FC Volendam · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYannick Leliendal · FC Volendam · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBilal Ould-Chikh · FC Volendam · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYannick Leliendal · FC Volendam · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRobin van Cruijsen · FC Volendam · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMawouna Amevor · FC Volendam · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 43′ · 0.13 xG · goalJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 58′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 19′ · 0.17 xG · goalPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 12′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAnthony Descotte · FC Volendam · 73′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · FC Volendam · 4′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · FC Volendam · 58′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedNeraysho Kasanwirjo · Fortuna Sittard · 5′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedLance Duijvestijn · Fortuna Sittard · 63′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 12′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 34′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedRobert Mühren · FC Volendam · 80′ · 0.42 xG · goalAlex Plat · FC Volendam · 74′ · 0.67 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Volendam: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.41 xG. Fortuna Sittard: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Robert Mühren · FC Volendam · 80′Paul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 19′Dimitris Limnios · Fortuna Sittard · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Volendam 2.41 xG · Fortuna Sittard 2.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Volendam
0Draws
4Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard — FC Volendam · Eredivisie1–0
FC Volendam — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie0–1
Fortuna Sittard — FC Volendam · Eredivisie3–1
FC Volendam — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–1
Fortuna Sittard — FC Volendam · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Volendam favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Volendam27 matchesFortuna Sittard27 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.85 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.28 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.59 shots/match
44.9%Possession27/27● 45.1%
3.37 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.33 corners/match
9.93 fouls/matchFouls27/2713 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC VolendamFortuna Sittard
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Volendam — Fortuna Sittard
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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