PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Abe Lenstra Stadion

SC Heerenveen 3–0 SC Telstar · Eredivisie

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Heerenveen won 3–0.

Shots
1220
Shots on target
96
Expected goals
1.922.07
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Heerenveen beat SC Telstar 3–0. Recorded in this match (SC Heerenveen – SC Telstar): shots 12–20, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 1.92–2.07, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Heerenveen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Heerenveen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Heerenveen · SC Telstar13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenSC TelstarBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match16 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots20 shotsSC Heerenveen 12 shots, SC Telstar 20 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots6 shotsSC Heerenveen 9 shots, SC Telstar 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.92 xG2.07 xGSC Heerenveen 1.92 xG, SC Telstar 2.07 xG
  • Possession44%56%SC Heerenveen 44%, SC Telstar 56%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersSC Heerenveen 5 corners, SC Telstar 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsSC Heerenveen 12 fouls, SC Telstar 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 56′ · 0.03 xG · goalMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCedric Hatenboer · SC Telstar · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 48′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 3′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 40′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 71′ · 0.08 xG · goalSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 73′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 75′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 6′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 60′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRojendro Oudsten · SC Telstar · 88′ · 0.15 xG · on targetLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 52′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 66′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 6′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 30′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 24′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 12 shots, 9 on target, 1.94 xG. SC Telstar: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Lasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 24′Maxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 56′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 1.94 xG · SC Telstar 2.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Heerenveen
0Draws
0SC Telstar
SC Telstar — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Heerenveen27 matchesSC Telstar27 matches
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.3 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.67 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.47 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots27/2713.1 shots/match
5.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.85 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession27/2744.6%
5.48 corners/match ●Corners27/275.11 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC HeerenveenSC Telstar
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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