PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente 0–2 FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Utrecht won 0–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
1.481.39
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Utrecht beat FC Twente 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – FC Utrecht): shots 16–10, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 1.48–1.39, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Twente's last-five shots average is below their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season18.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match18.1 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Twente · FC Utrecht14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteFC UtrechtBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match14.7 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsFC Twente 16 shots, FC Utrecht 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsFC Twente 4 shots, FC Utrecht 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.39 xGFC Twente 1.48 xG, FC Utrecht 1.39 xG
  • Possession62%38%FC Twente 62%, FC Utrecht 38%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersFC Twente 4 corners, FC Utrecht 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsFC Twente 7 fouls, FC Utrecht 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matisse Didden · FC Utrecht · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuud Nijstad · FC Twente · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMike Van der Hoorn · FC Utrecht · 34′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vennegoor of Hesselink · FC Twente · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSam Lammers · FC Twente · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSam Lammers · FC Twente · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedStav Lemkin · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArno Verschueren · FC Twente · 85′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRuud Nijstad · FC Twente · 40′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 50′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 81′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSam Lammers · FC Twente · 61′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 66′ · 0.35 xG · goalArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 32′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.48 xG. FC Utrecht: 10 shots, 8 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Artem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 32′Ángel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 1.48 xG · FC Utrecht 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Twente
1Draws
2FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht — FC Twente · KNVB Beker1–2
FC Utrecht — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–1
FC Twente — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie2–0
FC Utrecht — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–1
FC Twente — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente27 matchesFC Utrecht27 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.48 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.15 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.39 xG/match
18.1 shots/match ▲Shots27/2714.7 shots/match
6.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/275.04 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession27/2747.2%
5.3 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.37 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwenteFC Utrecht
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Twente — FC Utrecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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