PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles 6–0 NAC Breda · Eredivisie

6–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Go Ahead Eagles won 6–0.

Shots
1120
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.561.13
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Go Ahead Eagles beat NAC Breda 6–0. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – NAC Breda): shots 11–20, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.56–1.13, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Go Ahead Eagles's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

NAC Breda show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

NAC Breda's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsGo Ahead Eagles · NAC Breda13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesNAC BredaBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against18.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Go Ahead Eagles have a visible home split

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots20 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 11 shots, NAC Breda 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 6 shots, NAC Breda 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG1.13 xGGo Ahead Eagles 1.56 xG, NAC Breda 1.13 xG
  • Possession45%55%Go Ahead Eagles 45%, NAC Breda 55%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersGo Ahead Eagles 3 corners, NAC Breda 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls3 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 8 fouls, NAC Breda 3 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cherrion Valerius · NAC Breda · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Nassoh · NAC Breda · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBoy Kemper · NAC Breda · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaul Paula · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamal Sowah · NAC Breda · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaul Paula · NAC Breda · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Ghalidi · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · NAC Breda · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAmine Salama · NAC Breda · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedClint Leemans · NAC Breda · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRaul Paula · NAC Breda · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaul Paula · NAC Breda · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Salama · NAC Breda · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedClint Leemans · NAC Breda · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · NAC Breda · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 12′ · 0.10 xG · goalJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLewis Holtby · NAC Breda · 28′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Jensen · NAC Breda · 87′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 73′ · 0.15 xG · goalBoy Kemper · NAC Breda · 37′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 76′ · 0.20 xG · goalStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 41′ · 0.26 xG · goalJoris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 82′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.50 xG. NAC Breda: 20 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 12′Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 41′Jakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′Jakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 73′Jakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 76′Joris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 1.50 xG · NAC Breda 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Go Ahead Eagles
1Draws
1NAC Breda
NAC Breda — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–0
NAC Breda — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–1
Go Ahead Eagles — NAC Breda · Eredivisie2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Go Ahead Eagles favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · NAC Breda in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Go Ahead Eagles27 matchesNAC Breda27 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.04 goals/match
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.78 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.19 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13.7 shots/match
5.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession27/2748.4%
5.37 corners/match ●Corners27/275.33 corners/match
9.41 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGo Ahead EaglesNAC Breda
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headGo Ahead Eagles — NAC Breda
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required