Eredivisie · 2025Stadion de Goffert

NEC Nijmegen 1–1 SC Telstar · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

NEC Nijmegen and SC Telstar drew 1–1.

Shots
2110
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.111.22
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEC Nijmegen and SC Telstar drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – SC Telstar): shots 21–10, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.11–1.22, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NEC Nijmegen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

NEC Nijmegen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.31 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

NEC Nijmegen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

NEC Nijmegen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsNEC Nijmegen · SC Telstar13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNEC NijmegenSC TelstarBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

NEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionNEC Nijmegen · SC Telstar44.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNEC NijmegenSC TelstarBaseline
Possession56.8%44.9%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots10 shotsNEC Nijmegen 21 shots, SC Telstar 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsNEC Nijmegen 7 shots, SC Telstar 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.22 xGNEC Nijmegen 2.11 xG, SC Telstar 1.22 xG
  • Possession70%30%NEC Nijmegen 70%, SC Telstar 30%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersNEC Nijmegen 9 corners, SC Telstar 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsNEC Nijmegen 10 fouls, SC Telstar 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPhilippe Sandler · NEC Nijmegen · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCedric Hatenboer · SC Telstar · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCedric Hatenboer · SC Telstar · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhilippe Sandler · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 22′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 76′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 64′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 80′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKoki Ogawa · NEC Nijmegen · 88′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 56′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 85′ · 0.20 xG · goalBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 63′ · 0.30 xG · on targetSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 32′ · 0.38 xG · goalJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.40 xG · on targetBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 28′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NEC Nijmegen: 21 shots, 7 on target, 2.03 xG. SC Telstar: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 85′Sem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 2.03 xG · SC Telstar 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0NEC Nijmegen
1Draws
0SC Telstar
SC Telstar — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

NEC Nijmegen32 matchesSC Telstar32 matches
2.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.38 goals/match
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.69 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.47 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots32/3213 shots/match
6.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.91 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession32/3244.9%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners32/324.84 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3211.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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