PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente 1–1 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1.

Shots
1320
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
1.281.86
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente and NEC Nijmegen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – NEC Nijmegen): shots 13–20, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 1.28–1.86, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NEC Nijmegen's recent record differs from the season

weak

NEC Nijmegen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.35 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots20 shotsFC Twente 13 shots, NEC Nijmegen 20 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsFC Twente 8 shots, NEC Nijmegen 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG1.86 xGFC Twente 1.28 xG, NEC Nijmegen 1.86 xG
  • Possession49%51%FC Twente 49%, NEC Nijmegen 51%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersFC Twente 3 corners, NEC Nijmegen 9 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls16 foulsFC Twente 6 fouls, NEC Nijmegen 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 57′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBram Nuytinck · NEC Nijmegen · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 19′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEli Dasa · NEC Nijmegen · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 40′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 82′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 6′ · 0.13 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 84′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPhilippe Sandler · NEC Nijmegen · 76′ · 0.17 xG · on targetNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 50′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 10′ · 0.42 xG · goalBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 37′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 13 shots, 8 on target, 1.26 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 20 shots, 6 on target, 1.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 10′Bryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 1.26 xG · NEC Nijmegen 1.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Twente
2Draws
1NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — FC Twente · Eredivisie3–3
FC Twente — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–2
FC Twente — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–0
NEC Nijmegen — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
NEC Nijmegen — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente31 matchesNEC Nijmegen31 matches
1.68 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 2.35 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.58 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.76 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots31/3116.4 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target30/31▲ 6.71 shots/match
54.7%Possession31/31● 56.4%
5.19 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.81 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls29/3011.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwenteNEC Nijmegen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Twente — NEC Nijmegen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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