PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará vs América Mineiro · Serie B

Ceará

WDWWL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.060.64
Expected goals
1.071.1
Shots
13.713.3
Possession
51.2%52.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: américa Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.64 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará33 matchesAmérica Mineiro33 matches
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.64 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.64 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals31/331.1 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots31/3313.3 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target31/334.36 shots/match
51.2%Possession31/33● 52.9%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners31/335.36 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3313.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ceará
2Draws
1América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Ceará · Serie B1–1
Ceará — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Ceará · Serie B2–2
Ceará — América Mineiro · Serie A1–2
América Mineiro — Ceará · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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