Juventude vs Náutico — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie B · 2026Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

Juventude

LWWWD

vsPre-match analysis

Náutico

LWDLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.181.15
Expected goals: 1.131.34
Shots: 12.916.9
Possession: 50.4%57.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventude have a visible home split

moderate

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.2 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

17.1 fouls/matchFoulsJuventude · Náutico16.3 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Juventude	Náutico	Baseline
Fouls	17.1 fouls/match	16.3 fouls/match	14.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Náutico in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude33 matchesNáutico33 matches

1.18 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.15 goals/match

0.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.27 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals33/30▲ 1.34 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots33/29▲ 16.9 shots/match

4.27 shots/matchShots on target33/29▲ 4.66 shots/match

50.4%Possession33/29● 57.6%

4.21 corners/matchCorners33/29● 6 corners/match

17.1 fouls/matchFouls33/2916.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude

1Draws

0Náutico

5 Jul 2026Náutico — Juventude · Serie B0–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required

Season

What the record shows