Serie B · 2026

Goiás vs Náutico · Serie B

Goiás

WWLLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.19
Expected goals
1.131.36
Shots
12.816.9
Possession
54%57.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: goiás's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: goiás's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Goiás have a visible home split

moderate

Goiás's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Náutico show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Náutico's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsGoiás · Náutico16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGoiásNáuticoBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match16.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match13 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Náutico in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás32 matchesNáutico32 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.25 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals32/29▲ 1.36 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots31/28▲ 16.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target31/28▲ 4.71 shots/match
54%Possession31/28● 57.5%
4.65 corners/matchCorners31/28● 5.96 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls31/2816.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Goiás
0Draws
0Náutico
Náutico — Goiás · Serie B0–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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