Serie B · 2026

Goiás vs Náutico · Serie B

Goiás

DWLLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.21
Expected goals
1.041.47
Shots
11.617.7
Possession
53%57.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: náutico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: náutico's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Náutico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Náutico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Náutico have a visible away split

moderate

Náutico's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match17.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Náutico show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Náutico's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsGoiás · Náutico17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGoiásNáuticoBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match17.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Náutico in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás28 matchesNáutico28 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.18 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/26▲ 1.47 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots27/25▲ 17.7 shots/match
3.74 shots/matchShots on target27/25▲ 5.04 shots/match
53%Possession27/25● 57.6%
4.56 corners/matchCorners27/25● 6.24 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2516.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Goiás
0Draws
0Náutico
Náutico — Goiás · Serie B0–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness33 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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