PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ponte Preta vs Atlético Goianiense · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.571.24
Expected goals
0.941.46
Shots
10.614.6
Possession
41.7%49%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: atlético Goianiense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Goianiense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsPonte Preta · Atlético Goianiense14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPonte PretaAtlético GoianienseBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against18.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta28 matchesAtlético Goianiense29 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.24 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed28/29▲ 0.93 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals28/29▲ 1.46 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots28/29▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 4.52 shots/match
41.7%Possession28/29● 49%
4.39 corners/matchCorners28/29● 5.79 corners/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2915.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
0Draws
3Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0
Ponte Preta — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–2
Atlético Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaAtlético Goianiense
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headPonte Preta — Atlético Goianiense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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