Serie B · 2026

Ponte Preta vs Atlético Goianiense · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.531.25
Expected goals
0.91.43
Shots
10.214.8
Possession
40.7%49.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: atlético Goianiense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.53 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Goianiense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsPonte Preta · Atlético Goianiense14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPonte PretaAtlético GoianienseBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ponte Preta have a visible home split

moderate

Ponte Preta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta32 matchesAtlético Goianiense32 matches
0.53 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.25 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.94 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.43 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.44 shots/match
40.7%Possession32/32● 49.1%
4.13 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.94 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3215.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
0Draws
3Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0
Ponte Preta — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–2
Atlético Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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