PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Avaí 0–1 Ceará · Serie B

Avaí

WLLLD
0–1Pre-match analysis

Ceará

LWLDW

Match at a glance

Ceará won 0–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: avaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

weak

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí have a visible home split

moderate

Avaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
1Draws
3Ceará
Ceará — Avaí · Serie B2–1
Ceará — Avaí · Serie B2–0
Avaí — Ceará · Serie B0–1
Avaí — Ceará · Serie B1–0
Ceará — Avaí · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Ceará in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí28 matchesCeará29 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored28/291.07 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed28/291.28 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals27/29▲ 1.1 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots27/29▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target27/29▲ 4.34 shots/match
46.5%Possession27/29● 51.4%
3.89 corners/matchCorners27/29● 5.66 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2914.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness18 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAvaí — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required