PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

CRB 3–0 Cuiabá · Serie B

CRB

WWLWL
3–0Full-time analysis

Cuiabá

WLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CRB won 3–0.

Shots
2813
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
2.550.56
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Cuiabá 3–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Cuiabá): shots 28–13, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 2.55–0.56, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiabá have a visible away split

moderate

Cuiabá's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots13 shotsCRB 28 shots, Cuiabá 13 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsCRB 10 shots, Cuiabá 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG0.56 xGCRB 2.55 xG, Cuiabá 0.56 xG
  • Possession52%48%CRB 52%, Cuiabá 48%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersCRB 7 corners, Cuiabá 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsCRB 8 fouls, Cuiabá 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsCRB 1 card, Cuiabá 5 cards
  • Passes490 passes439 passesCRB 490 passes, Cuiabá 439 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.3%83.1%CRB 86.3%, Cuiabá 83.1%
  • Shots inside box16 shots7 shotsCRB 16 shots, Cuiabá 7 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks5 blocksCRB 7 blocks, Cuiabá 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves7 savesCRB 4 saves, Cuiabá 7 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesCRB 0 offsides, Cuiabá 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CRB
1Draws
2Cuiabá
Cuiabá — CRB · Serie B2–0
Cuiabá — CRB · Serie B1–0
CRB — Cuiabá · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB30 matchesCuiabá30 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301 goal/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/291.21 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots29/2913.6 shots/match
6.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.21 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession29/2947.9%
5.24 corners/matchCorners29/29● 5.31 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls29/2914.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBCuiabá
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCRB — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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