Serie B · 2026Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

Novorizontino vs Cuiabá · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Cuiabá

WDWLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.740.96
Expected goals
1.531.18
Shots
15.113.2
Possession
48%48.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino, Cuiaba. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.74 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino, Cuiaba.

2.85 days ▲Rest daysNovorizontino · Cuiaba3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNovorizontinoCuiabaBaseline
Rest days2.85 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Novorizontino have a visible home split

moderate

Novorizontino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 6

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino27 matchesCuiabá27 matches
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.96 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.74 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.18 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots26/2613.2 shots/match
5.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.19 shots/match
48%Possession26/26● 48.4%
6.27 corners/match ●Corners26/265.12 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Novorizontino
1Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Novorizontino · Serie B0–0
Cuiabá — Novorizontino · Serie B0–1
Novorizontino — Cuiabá · Serie B3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness4 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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