Serie B · 2026Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude vs Athletic Club · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.111.15
Expected goals
1.011.06
Shots
12.111.2
Possession
49.5%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: athletic Club's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude, Athletic Club.

3.79 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · Athletic Club3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeAthletic ClubBaseline
Rest days3.79 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club have a visible away split

moderate

Athletic Club's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.85 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.85 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude27 matchesAthletic Club27 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.15 goals/match
0.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.11 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.06 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.2 shots/match
4.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.3 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession27/2744.1%
4.19 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.33 corners/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2715 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
1Draws
0Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Juventude · Serie B1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness4 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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