Serie B · 2026

Náutico vs Operário-PR · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.151.33
Expected goals
1.391.27
Shots
17.614
Possession
57.9%52.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nautico Recife, Operario-PR. Alongside it: nautico Recife's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nautico Recife, Operario-PR.

2.81 days ▲Rest daysNautico Recife · Operario-PR2.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNautico RecifeOperario-PRBaseline
Rest days2.81 days2.81 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Nautico Recife have a visible home split

moderate

Nautico Recife's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.2 shots/match17.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Nautico Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nautico Recife's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21.3 shots/match17.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Náutico favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Náutico27 matchesOperário-PR27 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.22 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/271.27 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots24/2714 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/274.3 shots/match
57.9% ●Possession24/2752.3%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners24/274.85 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls24/2714.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Náutico
0Draws
0Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Náutico · Serie B2–6

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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