Serie B · 2026Estadio Primeiro de Maio

São Bernardo vs Londrina · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.381.15
Expected goals
1.071.1
Shots
12.613.3
Possession
50.9%46.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo, Londrina. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo, Londrina.

2.9 days ▲Rest daysSão Bernardo · Londrina3.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSão BernardoLondrinaBaseline
Rest days2.9 days3.21 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo26 matchesLondrina26 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.15 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals26/261.1 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots25/26▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/263.73 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession25/2646.2%
5.16 corners/matchCorners25/26● 5.31 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2613.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1São Bernardo
0Draws
0Londrina
Londrina — São Bernardo · Serie B1–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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