PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

São Bernardo 1–2 Londrina · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Londrina won 1–2.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.92.16
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina beat São Bernardo 2–1. Recorded in this match (São Bernardo – Londrina): shots 13–18, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.9–2.16, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsSão Bernardo 13 shots, Londrina 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsSão Bernardo 1 shot, Londrina 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG2.16 xGSão Bernardo 0.9 xG, Londrina 2.16 xG
  • Possession59%41%São Bernardo 59%, Londrina 41%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersSão Bernardo 4 corners, Londrina 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsSão Bernardo 8 fouls, Londrina 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSão Bernardo 1 card, Londrina 2 cards
  • Passes397 passes270 passesSão Bernardo 397 passes, Londrina 270 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.6%63.3%São Bernardo 76.6%, Londrina 63.3%
  • Shots inside box7 shots10 shotsSão Bernardo 7 shots, Londrina 10 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksSão Bernardo 3 blocks, Londrina 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves0 savesSão Bernardo 5 saves, Londrina 0 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesSão Bernardo 2 offsides, Londrina 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1São Bernardo
0Draws
0Londrina
Londrina — São Bernardo · Serie B1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo27 matchesLondrina27 matches
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.19 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.44 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.14 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots26/27▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/273.85 shots/match
51.2% ●Possession26/2746%
5.12 corners/matchCorners26/27● 5.3 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 03:50 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão BernardoLondrina
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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