PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Atlético Goianiense 2–1 Ceará · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

Ceará

LLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 2–1.

Shots
1123
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.931.97
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Ceará 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Ceará): shots 11–23, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.93–1.97, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.74 corners/matchCornersAtlético Goianiense · Ceará● 5.85 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtlético GoianienseCearáBaseline
Corners5.74 corners/match5.85 corners/match5.14 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots23 shotsAtlético Goianiense 11 shots, Ceará 23 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsAtlético Goianiense 2 shots, Ceará 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1.97 xGAtlético Goianiense 0.93 xG, Ceará 1.97 xG
  • Possession35%65%Atlético Goianiense 35%, Ceará 65%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersAtlético Goianiense 3 corners, Ceará 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsAtlético Goianiense 18 fouls, Ceará 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAtlético Goianiense 1 card, Ceará 3 cards
  • Passes310 passes567 passesAtlético Goianiense 310 passes, Ceará 567 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.7%87.3%Atlético Goianiense 79.7%, Ceará 87.3%
  • Shots inside box5 shots13 shotsAtlético Goianiense 5 shots, Ceará 13 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks9 blocksAtlético Goianiense 4 blocks, Ceará 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves0 savesAtlético Goianiense 4 saves, Ceará 0 saves

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atlético Goianiense
1Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–1
Ceará — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–1
Atlético Goianiense — Ceará · Serie B0–3
Atlético Goianiense — Ceará · Serie A1–0
Ceará — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense27 matchesCeará27 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.04 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.3 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.12 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots27/2713.9 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target27/274.37 shots/match
48.5%Possession27/27● 51.6%
5.74 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.85 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAtlético Goianiense — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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