PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Londrina 1–2 Operário-PR · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 1–2.

Shots
2115
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.822.62
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Londrina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Operário-PR): shots 21–15, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.82–2.62, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Operário-PR have a visible away split

moderate

Operário-PR's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots15 shotsLondrina 21 shots, Operário-PR 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsLondrina 5 shots, Operário-PR 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG2.62 xGLondrina 1.82 xG, Operário-PR 2.62 xG
  • Possession58%42%Londrina 58%, Operário-PR 42%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersLondrina 7 corners, Operário-PR 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls24 foulsLondrina 17 fouls, Operário-PR 24 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards7 cardsLondrina 5 cards, Operário-PR 7 cards
  • Passes424 passes317 passesLondrina 424 passes, Operário-PR 317 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.1%76.7%Londrina 85.1%, Operário-PR 76.7%
  • Shots inside box13 shots7 shotsLondrina 13 shots, Operário-PR 7 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks5 blocksLondrina 6 blocks, Operário-PR 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesLondrina 2 saves, Operário-PR 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesLondrina 1 offside, Operário-PR 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
0Draws
1Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Londrina · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina26 matchesOperário-PR26 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.29 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.35 shots/match
46.2%Possession26/26● 52.2%
5.31 corners/match ●Corners26/265.04 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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