Sport Recife
Serie B · 2026Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta · Serie B
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.31–0.62
- Expected goals
- 1.41–0.95
- Shots
- 13.9–10.5
- Possession
- 54.7%–42.1%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: sport Recife have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season
moderatePonte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.2 goals/match | 0.62 goals/match | 1.13 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sport Recife, Ponte Preta.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.9 days | 2.9 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Ponte Preta have a visible away split
moderatePonte Preta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8.5 shots/match | 10.5 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Sport Recife favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Sport Recife / Ponte Preta
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.