Náutico
Serie B · 2026Náutico vs Botafogo-SP · Serie B
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.15–1.12
- Expected goals
- 1.38–1.11
- Shots
- 17.5–12.4
- Possession
- 57.7%–48%
30-second read
What the record shows
The story here is recent context rather than season averages: botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nautico Recife, Botafogo SP. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Botafogo SP's recent record differs from the season
moderateBotafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 goals/match | 1.12 goals/match | 1.12 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nautico Recife, Botafogo SP.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Botafogo SP | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 1.83 days | 1.83 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Nautico Recife have a visible home split
moderateNautico Recife's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 22.2 shots/match | 17.5 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Náutico favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 2 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 1.83 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches
Náutico / Botafogo-SP
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
More football
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.