Náutico
Serie B · 2026Náutico 1–0 Botafogo-SP · Serie B
Match at a glance
Náutico won 1–0.
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: nautico Recife's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. The next-strongest reading is weaker: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Nautico Recife have a visible home split
strongNautico Recife's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 22.2 shots/match | 17.5 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Botafogo SP | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.17 corners/match | 6.29 corners/match | 5.25 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Nautico Recife show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakNautico Recife's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Nautico Recife | Botafogo SP | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 17.5 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11.9 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Náutico favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 5.17 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Náutico / Botafogo-SP
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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