PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 1–2 Cuiabá · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

Cuiabá

DDWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 1–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: cuiaba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo SP, Cuiaba. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Cuiaba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiaba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo SP, Cuiaba.

3.85 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo SP · Cuiaba7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogo SPCuiabaBaseline
Rest days3.85 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
2Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1
Botafogo-SP — Cuiabá · Serie B2–2
Cuiabá — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP25 matchesCuiabá25 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.92 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.72 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals13/11▲ 1.23 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots13/1113.3 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target13/114.09 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession13/1148.6%
6.46 corners/match ●Corners13/115.91 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1114.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPCuiabá
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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