PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Atlético Goianiense 3–0 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 3–0.

Shots
227
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.920.25
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Botafogo-SP 3–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Botafogo-SP): shots 22–7, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.92–0.25, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsAtlético Goianiense 22 shots, Botafogo-SP 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotAtlético Goianiense 6 shots, Botafogo-SP 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.92 xG0.25 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.92 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.25 xG
  • Possession47%53%Atlético Goianiense 47%, Botafogo-SP 53%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersAtlético Goianiense 7 corners, Botafogo-SP 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsAtlético Goianiense 13 fouls, Botafogo-SP 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Goianiense
3Draws
1Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–1
Atlético Goianiense — Botafogo-SP · Serie B2–0
Botafogo-SP — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–1
Botafogo-SP — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–0
Atlético Goianiense — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense24 matchesBotafogo-SP24 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.17 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.08 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/131.15 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/1313.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/133.92 shots/match
44.3%Possession10/13● 49.9%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/13● 6.46 corners/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1314.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAtlético Goianiense — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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