PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Goiás 0–1 Fortaleza · Serie B

Goiás

WLLDW
0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 0–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.520.59
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Goiás 1–0. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Fortaleza): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.52–0.59, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

moderate

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsGoiás 9 shots, Fortaleza 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsGoiás 3 shots, Fortaleza 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG0.59 xGGoiás 0.52 xG, Fortaleza 0.59 xG
  • Possession48%52%Goiás 48%, Fortaleza 52%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersGoiás 5 corners, Fortaleza 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsGoiás 12 fouls, Fortaleza 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsGoiás 3 cards, Fortaleza 4 cards
  • Passes442 passes480 passesGoiás 442 passes, Fortaleza 480 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.4%91.3%Goiás 86.4%, Fortaleza 91.3%
  • Shots inside box4 shots2 shotsGoiás 4 shots, Fortaleza 2 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksGoiás 2 blocks, Fortaleza 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesGoiás 2 saves, Fortaleza 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesGoiás 2 offsides, Fortaleza 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Goiás
1Draws
3Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Goiás · Serie B4–1
Fortaleza — Goiás · Serie A1–0
Goiás — Fortaleza · Serie A1–0
Goiás — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1
Fortaleza — Goiás · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás26 matchesFortaleza26 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.27 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.4 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession25/2548.5%
4.36 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.64 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2514.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásFortaleza
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headGoiás — Fortaleza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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