Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza 1–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza18 matchesNovorizontino18 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.56 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed18/180.94 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals9/7▲ 1.74 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots9/7▲ 16.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target9/7▲ 5.86 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession9/750.3%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners9/75.86 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls9/713.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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