PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro 1–1 Ceará · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

Ceará

DLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro and Ceará drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ceara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Ceara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1América Mineiro
1Draws
2Ceará
Ceará — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Ceará · Serie B2–2
Ceará — América Mineiro · Serie A1–2
América Mineiro — Ceará · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro18 matchesCeará18 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/70.98 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots9/712.1 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target9/7▲ 4 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession9/748.9%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/7● 5.86 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls9/714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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