PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

Novorizontino 0–1 Criciúma · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 0–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino, Criciuma. Alongside it: novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino, Criciuma.

3 days ▲Rest daysNovorizontino · Criciuma3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNovorizontinoCriciumaBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Novorizontino
1Draws
1Criciúma
Criciúma — Novorizontino · Serie B2–0
Novorizontino — Criciúma · Serie B1–1
Novorizontino — Criciúma · Serie B2–0
Criciúma — Novorizontino · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino19 matchesCriciúma19 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.21 goals/match
0.95 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/101.28 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/1015 shots/match
5.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/104.3 shots/match
50.3%Possession7/10● 55.9%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/10● 6.6 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/1013.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headNovorizontino — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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