PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Criciúma 1–0 São Bernardo · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: são Bernardo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Criciuma. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

São Bernardo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Bernardo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Criciuma.

3.83 days ▲Rest daysCriciuma · São Bernardo5.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCriciumaSão BernardoBaseline
Rest days3.83 days5.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · São Bernardo in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma15 matchesSão Bernardo15 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/150.8 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/61.08 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/612.8 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target9/64.33 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession9/648.7%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners9/63.33 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls9/611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaSão Bernardo
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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